The generation and distribution of energy is vulnerable to the impacts of climate variability and change (Bonjean Stanton, Dessai and Paavola 2016), however, there is a great deal of uncertainty over the extent of potential variability and change. This can make it very hard to make decisions about how to operate existing technologies, invest in new technologies or to set future directions for energy policy. Techniques such as scenario planning and adaptive planning can help to increase the effectiveness of decision making but are not widely used in the energy sector. This project will trial methods from futures thinking and decision making under deep uncertainty in a case study in the energy sector subject to uncertain climate impacts.
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