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High resolution simulations of Antarctic ice sheet loss


Project Description

Understanding changes in the Antarctic Ice Sheet (AIS) over longer time periods is critical to predicting the likelihood of future sea level change (de Boer, et al. 2017). Ice core records are one of the best dated and most direct records we have of these AIS changes in the past. The Weddell Sea Embayment (WSE) drains a huge volume of the AIS, and has likely been subject to large ice volume changes, however its contribution to global sea level rise during both the last interglacial and the last deglaciation remain unknown.

This studentship will combine new modelling approaches with new ice core records of water stable isotope measurements including from Berkner Island and Fletcher Promontory ice rises, and use glacio-isostatic adjustment modelling, to uncover the history of the AIS in the WSE over the last 140 thousand of years. The studentship will test how the ice core isotopic record would respond under differing ice sheet changes.

The student will investigate to what degree isotopic records from the last deglaciation reflect regional, i.e. southern hemisphere, climatic changes and to what degree they reflect changes that are associated with WSE AIS (local) changes in the configuration of the ice sheet.

The student will use a output from a Glacio-Isostatic-Adjustment (GIA) model and pre-existing climate model simulations (Holloway et al., 2016 and 2017) to look at how glaciological change and bedrock deformation controlled the AIS during the deglacial and last interglacial time periods.

The primary research route will be to run new high resolution isotope-enabled weather forecast-type simulations of the WSE region. Isotopic output from the WRF-iso model, run using a variety of AIS change configurations, will be evaluated against BAS and Washington ice core data (e.g. see Figure 1). New ice core data from the European oldest ice and WACSWAIN projects may also be available to the student. See https://www.esc.cam.ac.uk/news/warm-climate-stability-of-west-anarctic-ice-sheet. This approach will both help us discriminate between the likelihood of high and low sea level change scenarios during past AIS change events, and understand what can be gleaned from these coast ice core measurements.

Pre-existing global climate model simulations covering the last 140 ky, run using the HadCM3 model, will be used alongside updated AIS change scenarios provided by Dr Whitehouse to drive the new WRF-iso weather forecast model.

See https://www.mmm.ucar.edu/weather-research-and-forecasting-model for more details of WRF. New isotope code for WRF (WRF-iso) has recently been developed by our University of Washington (UoW) collaborators. It is this that now provides an exciting new opportunity to link measurements of water isotopes from small Antarctic islands and Peninsulas, such as JRI, BK, and FP (Figure 1), with Antarctic ice sheet change. To make the best use of our collaborators, the student will spend time at UoW learning how to use this new facility.

Whilst WRF-iso will be the main tool for this project, to understand what we would expect to see in the isotopic record under different scenarios we also require ice sheet scenarios to test. Thus, there is also the potential for the student to generate their own ice history scenarios using ice sheet modelling techniques (Whitehouse et al. 2012ab).

This project will provide cross-disciplinary scientific training in problem solving, modelling, data analysis and scientific writing. It will provide the student with high-level skills in: (a) glaciology; (b) the interpretation of geophysical and ice core data; and (c) numerical modelling.

The IAPETUS2 DTP programme will provide comprehensive personal and professional development training alongside extensive opportunities through interactions with a network of academic, research and industrial/policy partners. The student will be registered at the University of Durham. Specific training will be provided through courses:

•NCAS Climate Model Support Workshop (Reading, UK)
•Unified Model (Met Office) training course (Exeter, UK)
•Urbino Summer School in Paleoclimatology (Urbino, Italy)
•PRACE Software Carpentry (UK)

At BAS the student may have opportunities to participate in fieldwork on the Antarctic ice sheets, through, for example, the European Oldest Ice Project or to service GIA instrumentation. In addition to international conferences and workshop attendances, the student will also have an opportunity for a secondment at the University of Washington, US, to work with modelling and ice core partners.

Funding Notes

UK and EU students who meet the UK residency requirements will be eligible for a full NERC studentship. Students from EU countries who do not meet the residency requirements may still be eligible for a fees-only award. More information can be found in the UKRI Training Grant Terms and Conditions

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References

de Boer, B. and Stocchi, P. and Whitehouse, P.L. and van de Wal, R.S.W. (2017) Current state and future perspectives on coupled ice-sheet – sea-level modelling., Quaternary science reviews., 169 . pp. 13-28.

Holloway, Max D., Sime, Louise C., Allen, Claire S., Hillenbrand, Claus-Dieter, Bunch, Pete, Wolff, Eric, Valdes, Paul J.. (2017) The spatial structure of the 128 ka Antarctic sea ice minimum. Geophysical Research Letters, 44. 11129-11139. 10.1002/2017GL074594

Holloway, Max D., Sime, Louise C., Singarayer, Joy S., Tindall, Julia C., Bunch, Pete, Valdes, Paul J.. (2016) Antarctic last interglacial isotope peak in response to sea ice retreat not ice-sheet collapse. Nature Communications, 7. 9 pp. doi:10.1038/ncomms12293

Whitehouse, P.L., Bentley, M.J., Milne, G.A., King, M.A. & Thomas, I.D. A new glacial isostatic adjustment model for Antarctica: calibrated and tested using observations of relative sea-level change and present-day uplift rates. Geophysical Journal International. 2012a;190:1464-1482.

Whitehouse, P.L., Bentley, M.J. & Le Brocq, A.M. A deglacial model for Antarctica: geological constraints and glaciological modelling as a basis for a new model of Antarctic glacial isostatic adjustment. Quaternary Science Reviews. 2012b; 32:1-24.

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