Project background
The economic, social, and physical consequences of large earthquakes can extend for decades after the shaking stops. Large earthquakes can trigger secondary hazards such as landslides as a direct consequence of ground shaking. These secondary hazards also occur at elevated rates for many years after the earthquake, destroying buildings and overwhelming infrastructure1. The 2008 Mw 7.9 Wenchuan Earthquake is one of the most fatal earthquakes of the 21st century due, in part, to the extreme landslide response. Investments in post-earthquake recovery were hampered by vast post-earthquake debris flows and floods. Large landslides are particularly challenging from a hazard management perspective as they often start as minor events that then bulk up to 100 times their volume as they move downslope2,3 . However, the processes that cause debris flows to turn into hazardous events are poorly understood, as is the damage they cause to the new buildings and roads built during the recovery phase. These debris flows during reconstruction result in additional loss and damage, and hinder the progress towards recovery. This PhD will seek to understand the mechanisms that govern the bulking of debris flows, using this to develop better tools for managing risk to the built environment.
Project aims and methods
The PhD will examine the epicentral region of the 2008 Wenchuan Earthquake, where >30 large debris flows have occurred over the past decade, resulting in slow recovery. The project will achieve this by using a combination of remote sensing, fieldwork (COVID-restrictions permitting), and numerical modelling to answer the following questions:
(1) What are the physical controls on the development of extremely large debris flows in Wenchuan catchments? Building on preliminary modelling work using Massflow3, you will consider how and where future large debris flows might occur. This will include considering the rainfall and physical properties that govern the potential for these debris flows to bulk, and how these models can be simplified for hazard uses.
(2) What are the impacts of extremely large debris flows on the built environment? Using high-resolution satellite imagery captured since the 2008 Wenchuan Earthquake, you will map the recovery of infrastructure, including the development of new housing, industry and the implementation of structural mitigation measures. Using these images, you will map how this infrastructure was affected by large debris flows, particularly the location of damages and emergency response and post-disaster recovery progress.
(3) How can we produce better models for vulnerability and integrated risk assessment to large debris flows? Here we would combine the results from (1) and (2) to develop new vulnerability and risk models for mountainous regions during the post-disaster recovery phases.
The work has been developed through a long-term collaboration with Chengdu University of Technology, China. If possible, would include fieldwork and/or an extended stay in Chendgu to examine the built environment of the Wenchuan region to ground-truth remote sensing observations. Additionally, the candidate will have the opportunity to spend time at the British Geological Survey headquarters.
Candidate requirements
Students should have a background in geography, geomorphology, or geosciences. Expertise or experience with numerical analysis, GIS, or remote sensing, while not essential, would be advantageous.
Project partners
The student will become a member of the BGS and have full access to all BGS training and research facilities, potentially top-up their research budget with BGS internal funds.
Training
The student will be embedded in a robust training environment. Upon arrival, the student will perform a skills audit, then sit with supervisors to determine the best training needs. The student will be based at Cardiff University, where they will have access to considerable expertise and equipment in mapping land-use change and modelling sediment transport. Students will have access to an excellent provision in professional skills development delivered by our University Graduate College, which has been shortlisted for a Times Higher award. Also, students will have access to specific training through the NERC GW4+ DTP.
Entry requirements
In order to be accepted you would need to have a first-class BSc degree or a second-class degree plus an MSc or good MSci. However, for international students, you would need to have a relevant degree in the subject area and have evidence of an English Language qualification. Further information on the English Language can be found here: https://www.cardiff.ac.uk/study/international/english-language-requirements/postgraduate
How to apply
In order to formally apply for the PhD you will need to go to the following web page: https://www.cardiff.ac.uk/study/postgraduate/research/programmes/programme/earth-sciences
In the black box on the right of the page please select the following options:
·Doctor of Philosophy
·Full Time
·1st October 2022
Click on ‘Apply now’.
Please ensure that you include the ‘Project Title’ you are applying for and supervisor and that you add ‘NERC DTP’ under the source of funding.
The application deadline is Monday 10 January 2022 at 2359 GMT. Interviews will take place from 23rd February to 9th March 2022. For more information about the NERC GW4+ Doctoral Training Partnership please visit https://www.nercgw4plus.ac.uk.