The Red Queen versus the Court Jester: do biotic or extrinsic factors shape the reptilian tree of life?

Living reptiles – the group that includes turtles, lizards, snakes, crocodiles, and birds – represent a highly successful radiation of terrestrial vertebrates containing roughly four times as many species as their sister clade, the mammals. Explaining this numerical superiority is complex, especially as reptiles are often thought of as being more constrained by abiotic (“Court Jester”) factors, such as climate, than their mammalian counterparts (Mannion et al. 2015). On the other hand, reptiles are also considered more resistant to mass extinctions (Longrich et al. 2012), which are typically abiotically driven, e.g., by bolide impacts or volcanism. However, biotic (“Red Queen”) factors such as competition are also likely to play a role in shaping living species diversity and are becoming more testable thanks to advances in methodology.

This project will begin by assembling the largest ever tree of life (phylogeny) for reptiles. This will be achieved through synthetic approaches (“supertrees” and “metatrees”), in which the supervisors are world experts (e.g., Hill and Davis 2014; Lloyd et al. 2016). You will develop and expand a pre-existing database of reptilian phylogenies (found at graemetlloyd.com/matr.html). The final tree will cover a variety of extinct and extant clades, including: birds, crocodiles, dinosaurs, ichthyosaurs, lizards, plesiosaurs, pterosaurs, snakes, and turtles. Alongside this a database of traits will also be assembled, covering: geologic age, geographic range, body size, diet, and habitat. Again, this will be advanced by existing databases, such as the Paleobiology Database (paleobiodb.org), HerpNET (herpnet.org), and ORNIS (ornisnet.org). Finally, time series of abiotic factors will also be assembled (including sea-level curves and temperature proxies).

Collectively this data will allow a comprehensive study of whether reptilian biodiversity has been more strongly shaped by biotic or abiotic factors. Reptiles have switched habitat many times, for example by invading the marine realm (ichthyosaurs, penguins, turtles) or developing powered flight (birds, pterosaurs), but it is not clear if this has a positive or negative effect on diversification. This can be directly tested using software such as BAMM (or fossil BAMM, Mitchell et al. in press), as was done by Davis et al. (2018). Competition between clades can be tested using character displacement (Davies et al. 2012) and how mass extinctions prune the tree of life can be tested with phylogenetic clustering (Soul and Friedman 2017). Additionally, differing time series of palaeobiodiversity will be compared with longer term drivers, such as climate, sea-level, and palaeogeography using generalised linear models and phylogenetic biogeographic connectedness (Button et al. 2017; Cleary et al. 2018; Dunne et al. 2018).

The student will primarily use the statistical programming language “R”, in which full training will be given. Any code or data produced will be shared openly through portals such as Dryad, github, and the Paleobiology Database.