About the Project
In this PhD project, the following questions will be addressed:
• What are the climatology, variability and trends of TCs in the Arabian Sea and how are they are modulated by changes in SST, the Indian monsoon and other large-scale modes of variability such as El Niño-Southern Oscillation , the Madden–Julian oscillation and Indian Ocean Dipole?
• How well are Arabian Sea TCs represented in high resolution coupled climate models and what is the impact of increased resolution on that representation, including their structure and impact-relevant properties?
• How will the climatology and variability of TCs in the Arabian Sea change in the future, what drives such changes and how will TC impacts change?
• What is the likelihood of physically plausible low likelihood high impact events?
The student will use new reanalysis products such as ERA5 and NOAA 20C V3 to answer the first question. They will also work closely with the High-Resolution Global Climate Modelling Group at NCAS and the Met Office, which will provide access to recent high-resolution climate model simulations prepared in the PRIMAVERA project and contributing to the 6th Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP6) assessed by the IPCC. Other high-resolution data will be used from the HighResMIP and SPHINX projects. These model simulations will be used to answer the questions 2 and 3. Data from large ensemble simulations, such as D4PDF and CESM-LENS, will be used to answer the last question.
We are looking for an enthusiastic student with a natural science background from subjects like meteorology, physics, environmental/Earth science, or mathematics, with demonstrated strong analytical skills and a keen interest to study the physics of tropical cyclones as well as the statistics of their occurrence and impacts. The student will also learn the necessary programming and data analysis skills required for the quantitative analysis of big climate data sets.
To discuss this PhD opportunity informally please contact Dr Kevin Hodges ([Email Address Removed])
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