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Although the degree of sequence diversity is extremely high, it is not without limit. In particular mutations have the potential to disrupt the protein structure and so can have a negative effect on the structural integrity, and therefore function, of any of HIV’s constituent molecules. Fortunately, the likely effect of a given substitution can be predicted from the known characteristics of the structure and the particular side chain substituted. We therefore aim to predict whether a given evolutionary trajectory is viable or not, and so predict the likely evolution path of HIV. This will be done using computational models of protein evolution and protein structure.

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